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Major Casey is next, says Monty

"He has tremendous power and if he can control that I think he will be the one to make the breakthrough," says Colin Montgomerie


Posted: 1 November 2006
by Bob Warters

’Montgomerie
Monty with his 2006 Golfmagic award

Colin Montgomerie has revealed that he believes Paul Casey will be Britain's next major champion but his chances will be limited. The eight times European Order of Merit winner reckons Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson will dominate for the next few years and with three of the four majors played in the US it makes it 'difficult for everyone else.'

Talking to the excellent new London-distributed Free Sport magazine published every Friday, he said: "One guy (Tiger Woods) wins an average of two of the four majors every year and now Mickelson has come through and he's winning one a year. That means there's only one left and, of course, it's weighted heavily in favour of the Americans.

"No other body would allow that...look at tennis...but we have to accept that," says Monty who adds that Europe's strength in depth (eight players in the rankings between four and 16) was the reason for our Ryder Cup success.

"Three Americans in the world's top three couldn't win the Ryder Cup on their own, as we showed, so yes we do have the players who can start winning majors." And Casey is his first choice.

"He's fantastic. The greatest asset in golf these days is length because none of the courses are getting shorter. Casey has tremendous power and if he can continue to control that, as he has shown at the back end of this year, then I think he will be the one to make the breakthrough.

"He's incredibly strong, it's just about controlling it all but he has huge potential. Neither he nor Garcia are 30 yet - they're young and will only get better."

Monty believes the emergence of Woods in 1996 has hurt not only his own chances of a major but also the likes of Darren Clarke and Lee Westwood.

"It's like people entering Wimbledon now - with Federer there. They're all playing for second place...it will be a while before anyone gets ahead of him [Woods] again."

So where else might a challenge emerge?

Montgomerie talks about Casey
Paul Casey - 'Europe's next
major winner'

"We should look to Asia - it's all about potential. Between China and India you've got almost half the world's population. The potential is massive. Get some decent percentage playing golf and you're talking big numbers.

"We've seen the growth in the 'ladies section' with the Koreans - something like half the world's top ten are Korean - and there's no reason why that shouldn't be replicated in the men's game," says Monty, who with Casey and Woods is playing in the HSBC Champions event in China next week.

And despite reaching the ripe old age of 43, Monty still believes he can compete and fight at the highest level.

"As long as I'm healthy - my body still thinks it's 30 - and keep my ambition, I'll be fine. When that diminishes, it'll be time to stop."


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Monty reckons Paul Casey will be Britain's - and Europe's next major winner - but when and where? Do you agree? Give us your predictions. ED
Posted: 01/11/2006 13:18

I could see David Howell beating Casey to it. He had a good start to the season though lost steam with his back problems.
Posted: 01/11/2006 13:27

Justin Rose, if he learnt how to to finish a tournament off like he starts one.
Posted: 01/11/2006 13:45

justin rose imho has no chance of ever winning a major unless he sorts out his inablilty to close out the deal. Casey or howell I think is spot on , luke donalds putting is too erratic and his lengh off the tee is a disadvantage when hitting into greens on long par 4's of which we are seeing a lot more these days.
Posted: 01/11/2006 14:11

Watching Casey in the Ryder cup and world match play I couldn't understand how he hasn't won a major.
Also fancy Garcia to stop putting like a blind man at some point.
Posted: 01/11/2006 14:41

I agree with Monty - Casey has the tools to get the job done, and when he's hot he has the self-belief / arrogance to boot. He just needs to find his game at the right time to land a major.

USPGA seems the easiest for a first-timer to win, so I'd plump for that.
Posted: 01/11/2006 17:07

The Casey-Howell-Garcia sort of scenario makes sense, but I can see the next Euro winner being something of a surprise -- a Ferrie who comes right on the might sort of situation. Any one of a dozen players who can put it all together -- from Poulter to one of the Spanish emergers to a real surprise who squeaks in to a major -- a Jacquelin or a Hansen (take your pick) to one of the less heralded Brits -- can pull it out one day. And there are still some forces lurking who have had the odd setback but are not done yet -- Clarke, Bjorn, Jiménez, Paddington, Olazabal.

With my luck it will be bleedin' Pettersson, which wouldn't really count as a European win.

Let's hope that whoever it is, it happens in 2007. At least twice.
Posted: 01/11/2006 19:43

Cant see any of the current crop of Euros winning a major as they lack the resolve on the final 9 holes.


Posted: 02/11/2006 00:14

Can't buy that, Creo. Lack of stamina, maybe, or focus, or confidence. But I don't see lack of resolve.

I am no psychologist, but I pondered Monty at the US Open for some time. I wondered if somewhere in his fragile psyche, when the prize was so close he must have been able to taste it, if some little demon inside him was saying, "you know you are not meant to have this particular sort of achievement, no matter how good you are," and it clouded his judgment. I dearly hope not. I hope it was just a foolish haste to get it done and dusted that cost him his reason.

But I have never been a competitive athlete. I can only read and hear what happens to them. And like all people, they are each different from the other. Why should Len Mattiace have blown his chance at the Masters when the competition was not the terrifying Tiger but Mike Weir (admittedly on a long and very good roll, and as confident as he gets about the state of his game)? And then why should the previously able Len Mattiace essentially drop off the map?

Life is funny, which is why I think it could be anyone. Nobody is in these things without a great deal of ability. So it can come right for anyone in any given week. Paul Lawrie's mid-level ability allowed him to shoot a score to aim for on a day of tough conditions, and journeyman Jean Van de Velde played the best Tournament of all -- until the end, as we all know, therefore forfeiting it to Lawrie. The over-rated Justin Leonard was the only other player in the frame; these three had outplayed the rest of them on the day, and over four days. Goodness, Gary Evans nearly won the Open! And he has never won ANYTHING on the European Tour -- he is now longest-serving player without a win.

When Shaun Micheel and Chad Campbell, at that stage of their careers, can battle it out for a major, so can anyone. Campbell, in particular, has gone on to bigger and better, though Micheel is apparently coming good again.

Why not a Euro? Why not Raph Jacquelin or Ken Ferrie? They are light years better than Ben Curtis or Todd Hamilton. May take some luck -- good for them, bad for others -- but in many ways, despite the added pressure and all that, the majors are just another week and you never know when the golf gods are going to smile upon you.
Posted: 02/11/2006 03:18

I can see where Creosote is coming from, Garcia certainly crumbled mentally when paired with Tiger on the final day of the Open. Luke Donald didn't at the USPGA, his putting crumbled instead. If Garcia sorts his putting from inside 10 feet he'll win one, why Garica doesn't see someone like Harold Swash is beyond me. Swash has helped turn Harrington and Howell into arguably the best putters in Europe, particularly Howell. The boy needs help.

I find it almost impossible to bet on golf, apart from Tiger perhaps. There's no rhyme or reason to it. Ogilivy, Hamilton and Curtis prove the point. If you take Tiger and Mickleson out of the equation, there's about 50 players who could win a major. Golf is such a nebulous thing, as we all know, week to week and day to day our game changes. It's just down to who performs on the day and has some luck who wins a major.
Posted: 02/11/2006 09:58

I'd think that out of all of the European Tour players, the next one to win a major will ether be Poulter or Donald. Two complete ends of the attitude spectrum and I think if either of them are in teh mix coming down the stretch in future, they will have their chance.

Poulter is so self confident and that's a big key - Donald is just plain talented and if he starts a major well and grabs the lead, he might not give it up - I'd fancy him for a US Open. If he has a good week with the putter, he should win a major soon.

Casey is still a big contender for every event he gets into and with his power, Augusta could be the one for him.

As for Monty - don't write him off yet - it'll be the golf story of the year if he does.

Harrington - too many second place finishes and it will be a difficult monkey to get off his back - he must be the best player not to have won a major nowadays.
Posted: 03/11/2006 16:31

I think anyone on the European tour could win the open again this year as it is back at Carnastie. Just not the course to suit the yanks.
Defo putting on a bet for someone from the European tour (hopefully european) to win the open.
Posted: 10/11/2006 19:45

'Swash has helped turn Harrington and Howell into arguably the best putters in Europe, particularly Howell.'

Not sure I agree with Harrington Evan, his stroke is awful, he goes so high on the backswing, it's untrue.


If Garcia can have a good putting week and his long game is it's usual solid self, he certainly has chance.

Don't think Donald has the killer streak, he's too nice. He's certainly talented, but he's hardly going to scare people like Tiger does in a Major.
Posted: 10/11/2006 22:08

Donald is probably just not long enough for major play on the US major courses. Possibility in Opens, where shotmaking counts more.

Making the Ryder Cup team the first time ratcheted up Howell's game immensely -- always talented (but fearsomely injurable), he became formidable. The confidence boost must have been important.

He nearly won the OM wire to wire this year, and he facecd down Tiggy-Woo, but injuries affected his late season play. Possibly winning it might give Harrington that little jolt of adrenalin, as he starts the new season the Euro #1. You can never tell what can happen in the fragile golfer psyche.

I'd bet on Caroline Harrington to take a major home before she/he is done.
Posted: 11/11/2006 06:07

One things for certain the next major won by one of our guys won't be Monty!

Did anyone else notice his grip in this months todays golfer mag ?
..club butt in the middle of his left palm... maybe monty can't put his weight behind a drive and needs to extend his shaft length?

Harrington: I don't rate at all, he's just not aggressive enough.

Casey: he's a good safe bet, he's got the tallent.

Garcia: it's down to just one club his putter, if you look at the stats and he putted as good as the other guys he would have won loads by now.
Personally I think gracia will win one then get on a roll and start winning everything.
Posted: 12/11/2006 01:55

I'm still going for Poulter - he has the right attitude and that counts for a lot in majors - he believes he can do it and has the right blend of confidence/arrogance to do so.

Poulter for The Masters or The Open, most likely.

As for Carnoustie, I reckon we'll see a European winner. we had one in 1999 and we also had Jean who gave it away. European or Australian for The Open next year, especially if the weather plays foul for a couple of days.

Too early to say who, but they will need to be a good putter and have experience around there, it's a beast of a course and unless you've played it, you wont' uderstand how tough it actually is. I think the US players will hate it again.
Posted: 13/11/2006 10:43

'I think the US players will hate it again.'

If the rough is brutal then yes, it wont allow Woods etc to spray it all round the park and score well, unlike Hoylake and St Andrews where the rough was pretty pitiful.
Posted: 13/11/2006 15:55

I think Donald will land a major 1st, he is straight off the tee, solid iron player all he needs is the putter to start working...!!!!
And he the right temprement.
Would like to see Poulter win one but he seems to put more effort into his trousers than his game....!!
Posted: 17/11/2006 16:20

I think Henrik Stenson has a good chance, very long hitter, just a little bit of tydying up around the green and i think hell give tigger boy a good run for his money
Posted: 01/01/2007 03:20

Beware Tiger this year. He's not only playing for his father, he's playing for his son. Due between the US Open (which Tiger will be VERY keen to win, after last year -- tribute to Earl, aside from anything else) and the Open.

I don't actually fancy his chances at Carnasty, as he tends to attack courses that are inimitable to his style as if he expects them to bend to his will. Lytham didn't. Valderrama didn't. He gets stuck in on a theory, which may benefit him well on the US courses he likes, where you can see everything laid out in front of you, but it doesn't serve where there are imponderables, and he gets dogged, to his cost.

But who knows what LaMaze classes and ante-natal seminars with the Nanny will do to his consciousness. He's going to want to welcome little Sven-Goren Woods into the world with hardware. (All bets off if it's little Ulrike).
Posted: 01/01/2007 23:25

Oh dear Creosote's at it again!

No resolve? Paul Casey ALWAYS has resolve. You dont finish runner-up in the European Order of Merit without it and but for his illness at Valderrama Casey would probably have finished ahead of Padraig!

Monty didn't mention the other prime quality Casey has in abundance which more than anything else has taken Tiger to the pinnacle-holing out. Casey is a very fine putter, particularly under pressure. In addition he is a fine iron player, has a very soud short game and an excellent temperament. What more could a golfer want/need to win a major?
Posted: 07/01/2007 17:22

monty being positive again ? he should of said himself...
Posted: 23/01/2007 16:58

You can't predict who is going to win at golf, apart from Tiger of course. Just look at the last 20 major winners, excluding Tiger, there's no other one person who stands out, even Mickleson. The same goes for every tournament. Anyone from Casey, Poulter, Howell or Montgomery could be the next British winner of a major. It's just a question of who is on their game at that paricular time and has a bit of luck, and that Tiger has a bad tournament!


Posted: 24/01/2007 11:01

Space Golfer

It has been my stated opinion ever since I watched Casey at Gleneagles almost three years ago that Casey is FAR more likely to win a major and other big tournaments than any other current British "star" for three main reasons. Firstly, his power allied with accuracy which none of the others have to anything like the same degree, secondly, IMO he is a better putter UNDER PRESSURE than the others and,finally, he is tougher mentally.

By the way, I believe that Oliver Fisher may well be the other big winner after Casey.
Posted: 24/01/2007 11:26

I agree, particularly in regard to power and mental toughness. I still think a player needs a lot of breaks and for Tiger to have an off day to win a major. And then the player just has to be on the very top of his game. All these things have to happen at the same time, maybe this is why we haven't had a British winner for so long, but you feel our chances are better now than for a long time.
Posted: 24/01/2007 14:50

Personally, i'm about to go and empty by bank account on Henrik Stenson. He'll push Tiger close this year! Anyone else thinking the same?
Posted: 23/03/2007 10:47

PJH

I posted on the BBC Five Live Board and on the Golfobserver board when the BBC cosed down the FL.

Over a year ago I predicted that Stenson-not any of the Brits,even Casey, would be the next European and even World "Next Big Thing" I was poo-pooed because I had made this prediction just by playing with him in Sweden in a big Charity Pro-Am and on the evidence of just that occasion I just knew he would be a huge star.

I won a LOT of money betting on him at Dubai recently and I am going to spend ALL of it backing him in ALL the majors this year!
Posted: 23/03/2007 14:41

He looks the real deal. When he won the Benson and Hedges at The Belfry six years ago (when Casey played it as an amateur) , he looked like me might be a big star but it didn't happen again for three years and he almost lost his card. Don't know what happened but he seemed to re-discover his confidence. Apparently he's a very popular player on the European Tour and a bit of a practical joker which endears him to his colleagues!

You may well be right in backing him but it's a big jump from limited field WGC events to a major, when everything including the weather and the draw has to work in your favour.

I'd like to think Stenson has a chance, along with Donald and Casey but don't think we've seen the last of Singh and Els this season. Els would 'luv-it', he'd 'luv-it'if he could get a green jacket.ED
Posted: 23/03/2007 16:28

Bob

I should luv-it if the Big Easy rediscovered his true swing and form. No more delightful a human being and super golfer can be imagined. I just wonder if Ernie trusts his badly-injured and now healed? knee to swing fully on a regular basis. It would be a crying shame for the whole game of golf if Ernie was never quite the same again!!
Posted: 23/03/2007 16:53

interesting thread and debate.Casey looks to have the game for Augusta but it's difficult to see beyond tiger and phil.
Parky puts a good case forward for Poulter. Poulter had a poor season last year, he puts too much pressure on himself in my opinion. However, he's definately got the ambition and drive. Worth a few quid in a fortnight ?
Posted: 23/03/2007 20:03

Sorry Penfold Ace!

Stenson being the longest AND straightest driver in Europe and one of in world golf AND a fine putter has IMO an even better chance at Augusta than Casey, and MUCH better than Poulter, Donald and Rose.
Posted: 23/03/2007 20:25

i've won some canny money on stenson, don't think he'll win in a fortnight though. It's only his second appearance, i think experience counts for a lot there. I quite fancy geoff ogilvy's chances too.
Posted: 23/03/2007 21:06

My favourite, Goosen, has played well at Augusta, but he seems still to be in some sort of a daze. Els slipped away from real contention on Sunday at Doral, where he ought to have been pretty comfortable if his knee were really all right. His current form is a little troubling.

Stenson and Casey are both possibles at the Masters. But it has an anything-can-happen feel this year -- Tiger was lucky to win at Doral, and the last time he won. He's going to have to be a little more sure of things if he's to last out that field on that course. Phil is no gimme either.

Could be an interesting one. One of the dark horses might be Immelman, though I'm not entirely sure the course is his best bet for a big win.
Posted: 26/03/2007 06:51

Penfold ace

Many people including myself have worried over a long period about Garcia's putting saying that it might well be his permanent Achilles heel-particularly with the majors which are invariably held at courses with very large, fast and sloping greens.

Watching Stenson at Doral and even on occasions on the European Tour I so much hope that HIS putting does not mirror Sergio's. It will be fascinating to see how they get on at Augusta.
Posted: 26/03/2007 07:45

harrington is still the most naturally talented guy out there and his day will come and come and come again......tiocfaidh ar la!
Posted: 04/04/2007 12:35

Ken Ambat

I dont reckon that Harrington is that naturally talented at all. His success is IMO mainly down to hard work and a fine mind which can concentrate on his shots and good course management as well if not better than any other top golfer apart from Tiger-and of course Tiger has huge natural talent!
Posted: 04/04/2007 14:52

To be honest I can't see past Tiger, Augusta was made for Tiger or Tiger was made for Augusta I'm not sure!
As an outside bet I fancy Donald or Goosen.
Posted: 05/04/2007 14:46

The problem with the Europeans is that they are psyched out of majors.The qualities which make US golfers useless in team games are just those that give them mental strength as individuals.
As Justin Rose learned last weekend, when he can maintain his concentration and form for 4 rounds instead of 2 1/2-3 he will be a winner. To be fair he didn't do that badly, he held well against more fancied Europeans.
Posted: 10/04/2007 11:33

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