Race to Dubai permutations: What McIlroy, Chacarra, Rahm, Reed and others need to win

Check out all the permutations required to crown the 2026 Race to Dubai winner at the DP World Tour Championship this Sunday.

Rory McIlroy
Rory McIlroy

Nine players remain in contention for the Race to Dubai title ahead of the DP World Tour Championship. 

Rory McIlroy is chasing another piece of history, but leader Eugenio Chacarra holds the advantage.

In this article, GolfMagic takes a closer look at what each contender needs to become Europe's No.1.

The Race to Dubai title will be decided at the DP World Tour Championship, with 2,000 points available to the winner.

Chacarra leads the standings on 4,243.79 points, 533.93 ahead of seven-time champion McIlroy. 

Patrick Reed is third, with Casey Jarvis, Aaron Rai, Jon Rahm, Jayden Schaper, Ryan Fox and Daniel Hillier also mathematically in contention.

McIlroy is bidding for a record-equalling eighth Race to Dubai crown, matching Colin Montgomerie's achievement. 

Chacarra, meanwhile, is chasing his first season-long title after a campaign featuring three victories.

But what does each player need to win?

Scroll down to find out... 

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2026 Race to Dubai standings (entering DP World Tour Championship) 

Position

Player

Points

1

Eugenio Chacarra

4,243.79

2

Rory McIlroy

3,709.86

3

Patrick Reed

3,528.62

4

Casey Jarvis

2,892.98

5

Aaron Rai

2,560.15

6

Jon Rahm

2,525.45

7

Jayden Schaper

2,445.79

8

Ryan Fox

2,427.52

9

Daniel Hillier

2,351.25

What each player needs to win the Race to Dubai

Eugenio Chacarra: Victory guarantees the Spaniard the title. He can also finish last and still win if McIlroy finishes T4 or worse, Reed finishes T3 or worse, and none of the players currently ranked fourth to ninth wins.

Rory McIlroy: A victory would secure an eighth crown. He can also win by finishing second if Chacarra and Reed both finish third or worse. A fourth-place finish could be enough if Chacarra finishes T46 or worse, Reed finishes in a three-way tie for second or worse, and none of the players ranked fourth to ninth wins.

Patrick Reed: Reed wins the title if he wins the tournament and Chacarra finishes T2 or worse. He can also do it by finishing in a two-way tie for second, provided McIlroy finishes third or worse, Chacarra finishes in a three-way tie for seventh or worse, and nobody ranked fourth to ninth wins.

Casey Jarvis: Must win, with Chacarra finishing fourth or worse and McIlroy and Reed both third or worse.

Aaron Rai: Must win, with Chacarra eighth or worse and McIlroy and Reed both third or worse.

Jon Rahm: Must win, with Chacarra ninth or worse and McIlroy and Reed both third or worse.

Jayden Schaper: Must win, with Chacarra 13th or worse, McIlroy fourth or worse and Reed third or worse.

Ryan Fox: Must win, with Chacarra 14th or worse, McIlroy fourth or worse and Reed third or worse.

Daniel Hillier: Must win, with Chacarra 31st or worse, McIlroy fourth or worse and Reed third or worse.

LIVE: RACE TO DUBAI PROJECTED STANDINGS